Go Global Market Compass™
Choose where to go global first. Tell us what kind of expansion you are planning and how you will enter — export, e-commerce, distributor, licensing, franchising, joint venture or subsidiary — and get your markets ranked, gated and sequenced, with every figure linked to its official source.
What the compass measures
Most SMEs pick the market they know, or the biggest one. The compass asks a better question: where does your particular advantage travel furthest, with the least leakage, for the way you plan to enter?
Four types of expansion
Selling physical products abroad — through importers, distributors, retail chains or cross-border e-commerce.
Taking a brand, store concept or F&B chain abroad — operated directly, licensed, or franchised.
Selling software, outsourcing, consulting or professional services to foreign business clients.
Building plants, infrastructure, telecom networks or acquiring companies — capital that is hard to pull back.
Seven entry modes
- Direct exportingSelling straight to importers or business buyers; for services, delivering remotely from Vietnam.capital 1/5 · control 3/5
- Cross-border e-commerceSelling online to foreign consumers through marketplaces or your own store.capital 1/5 · control 4/5
- Distributor / agentA local partner buys and distributes your products, or resells your service.capital 1/5 · control 2/5
- LicensingLetting a partner use your brand, recipe, technology or software in exchange for royalties.capital 1/5 · control 2/5
- FranchisingTransferring the whole operating system to a franchisee or master partner for fees and royalties.capital 2/5 · control 3/5
- Joint ventureCo-investing with a local partner in a shared legal entity.capital 4/5 · control 3/5
- Wholly owned subsidiarySetting up and running your own entity — the most control, the most capital and risk.capital 5/5 · control 5/5
Five knock-out gates
- G1 · Right to operateDoes the law let a foreign firm enter the way you plan to — e.g. China’s 2-store + 1-year franchise rule, Indonesia’s GR 35/2024, Malaysia’s Section 54?
- G2 · Brand protectableIs your trademark filed in the target before you announce the brand?
- G3 · Product compliantHalal certification in Indonesia, the EU Deforestation Regulation, US reciprocal tariffs and the end of de minimis.
- G4 · Money can moveOutbound investment certificates, tax residence certificates and treaty paperwork.
- G5 · Funded to break-evenDoes your cash runway cover time to break-even with a buffer?
Seven pillars
- Demand & consumer fitIs there a paying segment for what you sell, as you sell it?
- Market development-stage fitIs your category at the stage where your positioning wins?
- Market access & tax burdenHow much of each dollar survives the border twice — goods in, profits home?
- Market readiness & cost to operateCan a foreign SME set up, operate and get paid?
- Distance & networkHow far is the market — and whom do you already know there?
- Competition & right to winIs there white space your advantage can hold?
- Risk & volatilityWhat can take it away after you invest?
Base weights by expansion type
| A · Goods export | B · Consumer brand / F&B / franchising | C · Tech & B2B services | D · Capital-heavy direct investment (FDI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demand & consumer fit | 20 | 25 | 25 | 15 |
| Market development-stage fit | 10 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| Market access & tax burden | 25 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| Market readiness & cost to operate | 15 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| Distance & network | 10 | 15 | 20 | 5 |
| Competition & right to win | 10 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| Risk & volatility | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25 |
Each entry mode then tilts these weights — a subsidiary adds weight to risk, e-commerce to demand and market access.
Data behind the scores
- IMF — World Economic Outlook database (DataMapper)
- World Bank — 2026–2027 country income classifications
- World Bank — Worldwide Governance Indicators
- Go Global Tax Obligations Navigator (official-source tax data)
- US Federal Trade Commission — Franchise Rule (16 CFR 436–437)
- BPJPH Indonesia — mandatory halal certification, 17 Oct 2026
- European Commission Access2Markets — EUDR application dates
- The White House — US–Viet Nam reciprocal trade framework (26 Oct 2025)
- US Customs and Border Protection — end of duty-free de minimis (EO 14324)
- Ghemawat — Distance Still Matters (Harvard Business Review, 2001)
- Johanson & Vahlne — Uppsala model revisited (JIBS, 2009)
Macro data pulled: 2026-09-15
Questions SMEs ask before choosing a market
What does the Go Global Market Compass assess?
It ranks up to 8 of 30 international markets for one specific company. You choose your expansion type (goods export, consumer brand, tech and B2B services, or capital-heavy investment) and your entry mode. The tool then runs five knock-out gates and scores seven pillars — demand, development stage, market access and tax, readiness and cost, distance and network, competition, and risk — into a 0–100 score with a Go, Test, Park or Not-yet call and a Beachhead → Scale → Stretch sequence.
Which entry modes are covered, and how do they change the result?
Seven: direct exporting, cross-border e-commerce, distributors or agents, licensing, franchising, joint ventures and wholly owned subsidiaries. Each mode tilts the pillar weights (a subsidiary puts more weight on risk; e-commerce more on demand and access), switches on different legal gates (franchise registration, outbound investment certificates) and changes which tax line is measured — tariffs for goods, royalty withholding for licensing and franchising, treaty relief on dividends for joint ventures and subsidiaries.
Where does the data come from?
Macro figures come from the IMF World Economic Outlook (GDP, population and growth), the World Bank 2026–2027 income classification and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (2024), pulled on 15 September 2026. Tax, treaty and trade-agreement data come from the Go Global Tax Obligations Navigator, which links every rate to the national tax authority that published it. Legal gates cite the regulator or a named law firm: the US FTC, Indonesia BPJPH, the European Commission, US Customs and Border Protection, the White House, DLA Piper and Legal 500.
What is a knock-out gate?
A condition that stops entry regardless of how attractive a market looks. Examples in the tool: China requires a franchisor to have run at least two company-owned units for a year; Indonesia’s GR 35/2024 requires three years of operation, two years of audited accounts and registered IP before franchise registration; Malaysia requires Section 54 approval for foreign franchisors; Vietnam requires a franchised system to have operated for at least one year. A failed gate turns the call into "Not yet" — fix the condition or choose a lighter entry mode.
Why can a very large market such as the United States score low?
Because the biggest market is rarely the best first market. There is no income tax treaty in force between the United States and Vietnam, so royalties are withheld at 30% and a Vietnamese company loses at least 10 percentage points above its foreign tax credit. Vietnamese-origin goods face a 20% reciprocal tariff, duty-free de minimis for small parcels ended on 29 August 2025, and competition is intense. The US often lands in the Stretch stage — worth entering once you have proof, cash and a network.
What is tax leakage and how is it calculated?
Vietnam taxes companies on worldwide income and credits foreign tax only up to the Vietnamese tax on the same income. Leakage is therefore the host-country withholding rate minus your Vietnamese corporate income tax rate, whenever that difference is positive. Under Law 67/2025/QH15 the Vietnamese rate is 20% standard, 17% for revenue of VND 3–50 billion and 15% up to VND 3 billion — so smaller firms lose more to the same foreign withholding. The tool asks for your revenue band and whether you hold a tax residence certificate.
Can I change the scores and the weights?
Yes. Every pillar score is an automatic starting point built from official indicators and your answers — you can nudge any pillar for any market with local knowledge, and reset it at any time. You can also switch to custom weights. The notes under each score show exactly which figure or rule produced it, with a link to the source.
What do Go, Test, Park and Not yet mean?
Go means a score of 70 or more with no gate failed — a beachhead or scale candidate. Test means 55–69: try a low-capital mode such as a distributor, e-commerce or a licence, then re-score after six months. Park means below 55 for this type and mode. Not yet means at least one gate failed. Any pillar weighted 15 or more that scores 1 or below is flagged for review even when the total looks healthy, so an average never hides a fatal hole.
Is the result legal, tax or investment advice?
No. Figures are published by third parties, compiled as-is, and may change; we do not independently verify the underlying data. The scoring formulas are an analytical method, not a forecast. Use the result to decide where to look harder, then confirm with licensed advisers in each market before committing capital.
How often should I re-run the assessment?
Every six months, and immediately when a trigger event lands on one of your markets. The tool lists the dated events that apply to your choices — for example Indonesia’s halal certification deadline of 17 October 2026 and the EU Deforestation Regulation from 30 December 2026.